Written By: - Date published: 9:45 am, April 17th, 2026 - 48 comments
We need to stop slagging off the people who have the only chance of forming a centre left government this year.
Written By: - Date published: 1:49 pm, March 6th, 2026 - 10 comments
Latest poll results show a gain of 10 seats by Labour but don’t forget the voter disenfranchisement laws and NZME’s Editorial Direction is still to come
Written By: - Date published: 8:46 am, March 6th, 2026 - 65 comments
It has been a hell of a week for Christopher Luxon. His performance particularly over Iran has been appalling. And a new poll puts National under 30%.
Written By: - Date published: 8:10 pm, December 17th, 2025 - 22 comments
The last poll of the political year and it is a doozie. Labour is 8 points ahead of National.
Written By: - Date published: 1:03 pm, October 8th, 2025 - 41 comments
National crashing into the 20s in the latest Couria Poll must have increased dramatically the prospects of Christopher Luxon being deposed as Prime Minister.
Written By: - Date published: 6:41 pm, August 27th, 2025 - 19 comments
Everyone on the left can agree that we must change the government. Elliot Crossan argues that if Labour wins in 2026 and refuses to transform the system generating extreme inequality, NZ society will continue to fragment. Change the government. This is currently the unanimous goal of trade union leaders, left-wing politicians and progressive NGOs. At rallies, […]
Written By: - Date published: 9:13 am, April 1st, 2025 - 33 comments
The new RNZ/Reid Research poll has its first results.
Written By: - Date published: 8:39 pm, February 11th, 2025 - 15 comments
Two recent polls both predict a one term National Government.
Written By: - Date published: 12:01 pm, February 1st, 2025 - 16 comments
What happened to the Curia Market Research suspension? David Farrar responded after RANZ hired an independent sub-committee to investigate complaints about polling integrity
Written By: - Date published: 2:21 pm, January 17th, 2025 - 62 comments
That grinding noise you can hear from the Parliamentary precinct is the sound of National backbenchers sharpening their knives getting ready for a change of leadership. Because the latest Curia poll shows National has fallen behind Labour in the preferred party stakes.
Written By: - Date published: 10:12 pm, December 18th, 2024 - 24 comments
Or about to be rolled? Word has it that Chris Bishop is waiting in the wings, as Luxon’s favourability rating drops below Hipkins.
Written By: - Date published: 10:03 am, December 11th, 2024 - 14 comments
Unlike two other recent polls the latest Taxpayer’s Union poll reports a surge to Act happening during the time the Treaty Principles Bill was introduced.
Written By: - Date published: 10:14 am, December 4th, 2024 - 20 comments
Five recent polls show that Kiwis are tired of the Coalition government, but will the trendline hold?
Written By: - Date published: 4:49 pm, November 30th, 2024 - 7 comments
David Farrar’s company Curia abruptly exited the Research Association of New Zealand (RANZ) in August. It was triggered by a complaint about the fairness of the wording of a question in a April poll. This was a really bad poll, and this question a particularly egregious breach of any fairness. The question was paid for by Family Fi(r)st.
Written By: - Date published: 12:21 pm, October 20th, 2024 - 24 comments
Elliot Crossan at System Change Aotearoa reviews the past year. Despite the tepid public support for this government’s problematic actions, he warns that ‘The Right Is United By Power — Don’t Underestimate Them’
Written By: - Date published: 6:41 pm, October 11th, 2024 - 109 comments
The latest Curia poll result suggests that National is tanking and NZ First and Act are eating into its support. And Luxon selling off his rental properties and saying that he does not care suggests he may be planning for an exit.
Written By: - Date published: 10:22 am, July 21st, 2024 - 70 comments
I can’t remember American politics ever being this weird. Donald Trump is riding a wave of support and risks being returned to the White House as President. And Joe Biden is considering his options.
Written By: - Date published: 10:04 pm, June 10th, 2024 - 12 comments
The UK still has the First Past the Post Electoral system. Something New Zealand should have absolutely no nostalgia for. This means that, while the campaign is UK-wide, a lot of campaign activity is directed into constituencies that are deemed marginal. In marginal constituencies, a General Election brings a conveyor belt of the good and the great supporting their prospective parliamentary candidate. In “safe seats” voters get much less attention.
Written By: - Date published: 6:05 pm, April 29th, 2024 - 52 comments
The latest One News Verian poll suggests that the right is in trouble.
Written By: - Date published: 8:52 pm, March 8th, 2024 - 39 comments
The Atlas aligned Taxpayer’s Union has released its latest Curia poll results. And the results are bad news for Christopher Luxon.
Written By: - Date published: 9:06 pm, February 19th, 2024 - 43 comments
The latest One News Verian poll suggests that there has been absolutely no honeymoon for the Government.
Written By: - Date published: 8:06 am, October 12th, 2023 - 52 comments
Two new polls were released last night and they both confirm a tightening of the race with the right slumping and the left improving.
Written By: - Date published: 7:55 am, October 11th, 2023 - 82 comments
A new poll has Labour surging into the 30s, Act continuing its decline and National going backward. This election is not over.
Written By: - Date published: 11:22 am, October 4th, 2023 - 30 comments
In a week of weird events National’s decision not to debate Labour in the Press’s leader’s debate has been a massive own goal because the country will be able to see how toxic David Seymour’s and Winston Peters’ relationship is.
Written By: - Date published: 1:56 pm, September 12th, 2023 - 31 comments
The silver lining to last night’s Reid Research poll is that Act’s support is slumping and if there is a change in Government it may not be as extreme as it could have been.
Written By: - Date published: 12:34 pm, August 31st, 2023 - 44 comments
Now is not the time to give up, now is the time to work harder at winning.
Written By: - Date published: 8:08 pm, May 14th, 2023 - 70 comments
The latest TV3 Newshub poll results are out. The major parties are neck and neck. No surprise there. But what is stark is the public response to Christopher Luxon. Basically he is tanking.
Written By: - Date published: 6:18 pm, March 13th, 2023 - 57 comments
The latest One News Kantar Poll result has been released and it is a doozie.
Written By: - Date published: 8:15 am, February 22nd, 2023 - 37 comments
Here’s my prediction: Labour will not just win the October election, but it will complete a landslide of similar proportions to the 2020 election. It has been Labour’s response to the cyclones that will be the decisive factor in October. Luxon’s low energy performance helps.
Written By: - Date published: 9:07 am, February 2nd, 2023 - 71 comments
Auckland Mayor Wayne Brown is providing National strategists with a rather large headache.
Written By: - Date published: 6:24 pm, January 30th, 2023 - 78 comments
This evening two new political polls have been released both putting Labour ahead of National.
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