The last RNZ Reid poll, and getting out the vote for a left win

Quick post as a reminder the left can win this election but it’s close.

Explainer from RNZ is good and covers the overhang and Opportunity’s role. Here’s the MMP calculator set to these results to play around with the National overhang.

This gives Labour 37 seats. If National get 36 electorate seats or less, it’s a Labour led, centre left win.

Opportunity committed to talk first with the largest party. If National get 38 seats, it’s a National win. That’s the National overhang at play, and why rich prick and National’s largest donor Nick Mowbray is tweeting advice to the right this morning on how to split their vote.

If both Labour and National get 37 seats, what will Opportunity do? Has MSM asked them?

But looking good lefties. Get Out the Vote is crucial:

If you are in a marginal Labour/National electorate, getting people to not electorate vote National matters.

People undecided on the party vote voting for Labour ups our chances. This poll says Labour could govern with the Greens and Opportunity, you can tell this to conservative voters concerned about Te Pāti Māori.

btw, remember how the uber wealthy in New Zealand tried to buy an anti-MMP result on the MPP referendum and they lost the vote and all that money? Fuck Mowbray.

Get out the vote. Labour have a very good ground game, better than will be showing in the polls. Let’s give them all the support we can: donations, volunteer, talk to everyone you can especially undecideds and those that might not vote.

One comment on “The last RNZ Reid poll, and getting out the vote for a left win”

  1. 1

    Friendly reminder of the stakes

    https://www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361106904/public-service-chiefs-ordered-plan-9000-job-cuts-during-election-campaign

    https://x.com/LewSOS/status/2115524839943614787

    Public service chiefs were ordered to draw up plans for sweeping spending cuts during the election campaign, with proposals to help axe nearly 9000 jobs due as coalition talks are expected to be under way.

    The Public Service Commission has written to all government department bosses asking them to model a 15% reduction in staff numbers, with proposals due in mid-November.

    The request follows a Cabinet-approved target to reduce the core public service to 55,000 full-time equivalent (FTE) positions by June 2029. The cuts would begin in June next year.

    The workforce stood at 63,912 FTEs at the end of June, meaning the target would require a reduction of 8912 positions – about 14% of the current workforce. However, official advice suggests the true cuts could top 11,000.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *