Quick post as a reminder the left can win this election but it’s close.
Explainer from RNZ is good and covers the overhang and Opportunity’s role. Here’s the MMP calculator set to these results to play around with the National overhang.
This gives Labour 37 seats. If National get 36 electorate seats or less, it’s a Labour led, centre left win.
Opportunity committed to talk first with the largest party. If National get 38 seats, it’s a National win. That’s the National overhang at play, and why rich prick and National’s largest donor Nick Mowbray is tweeting advice to the right this morning on how to split their vote.
If both Labour and National get 37 seats, what will Opportunity do? Has MSM asked them?
But looking good lefties. Get Out the Vote is crucial:
If you are in a marginal Labour/National electorate, getting people to not electorate vote National matters.
People undecided on the party vote voting for Labour ups our chances. This poll says Labour could govern with the Greens and Opportunity, you can tell this to conservative voters concerned about Te Pāti Māori.
btw, remember how the uber wealthy in New Zealand tried to buy an anti-MMP result on the MPP referendum and they lost the vote and all that money? Fuck Mowbray.
Get out the vote. Labour have a very good ground game, better than will be showing in the polls. Let’s give them all the support we can: donations, volunteer, talk to everyone you can especially undecideds and those that might not vote.
https://x.com/LewSOS/status/2115524839943614787