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https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/politics_election-2026/2211553/rnz-reid-research-poll-national-below-disastrous-2020-result-as-opportunity-surges?fbclid=IwY2xjawVPD7hleHRuA2FlbQIxMQBwZG9mA3NydGMGYXBwX2lkDzQwOTk2MjYyMzA4NTYwOQABHzBxrnNSAw4Hl5yHHBySp6UUg1AvU00M0U8v3bEsGJYhRat-xcSiErMDIDcy_aem_jKi5k-7fKimaJspMU_THiw
Happy Thursday.
On these numbers labour is very close to only needing 2 coalition partners.
… and the Green Party is now within 10 points of National.
And National is even closer to having no path to power. Actually, they are probably fucked on those figures once you account for TPM overhang with the extra overhang seat National created against themselves with their anti gang rant. Hopefully National's electorate vote collapses by a similar, or greater, amount and Mowbray's overhang wet dream turns into good day for Winston and David, and not so good for Simeon. Be interesting to see polling on the flippable Nat. electorates
PS Took Mum out to vote at St Margret's in Frankton yesterday. Quite busy for a booth that now requires a planned effort to get to with the road works. And a happy positive vibe from the voters, and staff.
I also think the attack ads that National have put up don't really work, it makes them look desperate, I saw that bizarre one on TV last night with the half shorn sheep & dogs, like WTF? & hearing Willis saying "the job is only half done" is so strangely self aware, like we know, you've only half wrecked the country we don't want you to completely wreck the place.