Daily review 15/12/2022

8 comments on “Daily review 15/12/2022”

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  1. 4

    This bloody msm! Newshub is reporting that ASB called the booking economy 'stupendous' not recessionary. But of course, that's bad – it drives inflation! And hold on, a hangover is coming!

    Which is desirable, a strong economy or a weak one?

  2. 5

    Chicken Little knew.

    https://twitter.com/arstechnica/status/1602995951240728577

    Ars: I'm curious what you think will actually unfold over the rest of this decade because you've outlined some hopeful strategies. But it has only been a year since Russia shot down its Cosmos satellite. In the US, the Wolf Amendment precludes a lot of the cooperation you referred to—or at least certainly has a chilling effect. China had its uncontrolled reentry of a Long March 5 rocket last month. So I see some progress, but I certainly don't see enough progress to offset the rate at which we're putting these satellites up into an increasingly congested low-Earth orbit.

    Jah: This is where I put my realist hat on. I think we are going to lose the ability to use certain orbits because the carrying capacity is going to get saturated by objects and junk. Orbital capacity being saturated means "when our decisions and actions can no longer prevent undesired outcomes from occurring." So if we're trying to minimize having to move out of the way or bumping into each other, and no matter what we do we can't avoid that, that means that for all intents and purposes, that orbit highway is no longer usable.

    I predict that that's going to happen. And I also predict that we will see a loss of human life by (1) school-bus sized objects reentering and surviving reentry and hitting a populated area, or (2) people riding on this wave of civil and commercial astronauts basically having their vehicle getting scwhacked by an unpredicted piece of junk. I predict that both those things are going to happen in the next decade.

    https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/12/space-debris-expert-orbits-will-be-lost-and-people-will-die-later-this-decade/

    1. 5.1

      And the flow on effects that will potentially cost lives as well.

      Interesting link (yet another) that makes one pause.

    2. 5.2

      One would presume Space Force has a freedom of the seas/orbit area mandate. I guess they will either vapourise or operate a garbage collection service.

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