Daily review 15/09/2022

Written By: notices and features - Date published: - 12 comments
Categories: Daily review

Daily review is also your post.

This provides Standardistas the opportunity to review events of the day.

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12 comments on “Daily review 15/09/2022”

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  1. 1

    What a coincidence the now widely referenced Taxdodger's Union Curia Poll was released on the day positive GDP figures came out.

      1. 1.1.1

        The Curia polls have consistently been taken over the first 7-9 days of the month (at least this year) – there's a little variation in number of days – I think around weekends. Other pollsters are more inconsistent in their timing.

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_New_Zealand_general_election

        Now, it's entirely possible that National and/or ACT adjust their policy releases to fit with the known Curia polling period. But it certainly doesn't seem to be the other way around.

          1. 1.1.1.1.1

            According to the link above, they've regularly published every month this year (so far). So, either this Twitter discussion is very old, or completely inaccurate.

            Contrast with Talbot Mills – who are both more infrequent, and more irregular (as well as not publishing all of their data – sample sizes, for example).

  2. 2

    Centre left given nudge off stage as centre right take Swedish Elections.

    https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1570207103129640960

    Significant gang crime was swinger with 41 shooting murders this year.

    Europe softens approach on price caps with Gas imports.(realises they are price takers not makers) as Norway was not impressed,and no way would the US suppliers comply (as the enhanced pricing removes 5.4 trillion of fracking debt/gas completely by 2024) and large tax receipts to both states and Fed.

    https://twitter.com/BurggrabenH/status/1570140572522020866?cxt=HHwWhIDUiYSiocorAAAA

    Instead the EU puts price constraints on renewables and low carbon generation.

  5. 5

    Jacinda Ardern and the Labour Govt receive an historic 50% plus majority result in an MMP election in 2020 and in 2022 are suddenly in the low 30%.

    If that is true then it speaks volumes about the fickleness of the electorate. Could Cameron Slater, the most oily of whales, be right and politics is truly a blood sport.

    1. 5.1

      To be fair they have been shedding numbers now for a while. Nothing 'suddenly' about this. Just a constant drip drip drip.

      It is up to Labour to explain why they are the better option. And fwiw, despite National being National – devoid of ideas and policies – it seems that Labour is also not cutting it anymore with the 'whole' of the electorate.

      Rather then focus on the re-alignment of National and Labour to be present in the mid 30% i would keep an eye on the third parties as that is were governments are made.
      Labourt will not again be given the trust of non Labour voters as they did the last time around i.e. Covid Election. That was a special event and should be treated as such.

      Anyone thinking that Labour will again get a full majority on their own will be sadly disappointed on election night. Just my 2cnts.

      1. 5.1.1

        Do these polls affect the way many in the electorate ultimately vote. When you see how these polls are generally presented and dissected in the media, poll dropping equals losing. Kiwis love to support an underdog but tend to shy away from "losers".

        I would prefer if all random political polling ceased to be used as some measure of real performance.

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