Fifteen Green MPs, or more
The political courage of the Green Party is paying off.
political polls
National’s Internal Polling Leaked
Yet another leak from Judith Collins’ Strong Team™. This time it’s their own polling … and it’s grim news.
One News/CB Poll June
The latest One News/Colmar Brunton poll continues to show Labour are the favourites to lead the next Government.
TVNZ Colmar Brunton Poll
National slump in the latest poll; Judith Collins is up in the preferred PM race.
Colmar Brunton poll; Simon Who?
The 1 News/Colmar Brunton poll is out. The Government sails on serenely while Simon meets the people.
Go home Roy Morgan, you’re drunk
The latest Roy Morgan poll result and it is evidence that the polling model needs to be reviewed.
The latest polls
Two polls out today both suggesting that National are comfortably ahead although the Reid Research has National declining further and polling under 45%. The equivalent polls last time predicted that National would win an outright victory. This is going to be a very tight election.
The trouble with political polls
Two new polls are out suggesting National’s support is in the range of 46%. Given that its support is historically over reported this is potentially cause for concern …
There is something wrong with the latest Herald Digipoll
The latest Herald Digipoll has caused many commentators to claim that Labour’s support is declining. But there is something strange with the figures, particularly those about Len Brown’s previous and current support.
Nats’ biggest ever drop in 3 News poll
The latest 3 News / Reid poll has National down 5.1%, their largest drop (in this poll) since becoming the government. Labour is up 3.6%. A long way to go yet, but it’s an encouraging start to the election campaign for the Left.
The Google poll
It seems that in American elections there is an almost perfect correspondence between some candidates’ opinion polling and their current search volume on Google. Can we do away with political opinion polls? Sounds interesting doesn’t it. A quick check shows that the relative frequency of searches for “National party” and “Labour party” predicted the result of the 2008 election. What other tricks can we try?