Daily review 23/06/2026

7 comments on “Daily review 23/06/2026 ”

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1. Dennis Frank 1

   23 June 2026 at 6:21 pm

   Looks like voters intend to scale up their optionality: https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/06/23/poll-big-two-parties-at-30-year-low-opportunity-nears-5-threshold/

   The standout is Opportunity which has risen to 4.6%, sitting just 0.4% off the 5% threshold, enough to bring the party into Parliament at its fourth attempt. The combined total for the two major parties is just 61% – that’s the lowest it’s been since 1996, the year of the first MMP election.

   Enough? Premature, yet I'm inclined to agree. It does look like a substantial shift in public opinion, and momentum would get it there unless something negative shows up to stop the trend. So our set of voter options shifts from 6 to 7. Magic!

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   • Dennis Frank 1.1

     23 June 2026 at 6:38 pm

     Seymour seems either spooked by corporate branding, or spooked that the public may see TOP as such. Could be he's in a state of cognitive dissonance:

     "Their policies are the same as the Greens," Seymour said. "They are sort of on the left, but with more corporate branding and I'm sure, as people take a harder look at them, they'll see that." https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/06/23/parties-rattled-by-new-poll-downplay-slumps-and-opportunity-rise/

     Winston Peters has long been dismissive of political polls… He was dismissive of Opportunity's near-5% showing, claiming the "mainstream media done a marvellous job propping them up".

     Well I never. I had no idea the msm were propping them up. Now that Winston has let that cat out of the bag it may claw it's way up the curtains, huh? Freak everyone out all over the place. Winston ought to put this thesis in for the conspiracy theory of the year award! Could come as a revelation to punters throughout the land. There could be a Stop the Opportunists movement snowballing as a sheeple reaction. Game-changing?

     Reply
2. Bearded Git 2

   23 June 2026 at 7:31 pm

   Good Verian poll for the Left today:

   Lab 32.0 Gre 13.0 TPM 1.80 total 46.8

   Nat 29.0 NZF 11.0 ACT 6.0 total 46.0

   With an overhang if TPM win say 5 of the Maori seats, the Left has a working majority, for the second poll in a row.

   (See Dennis’ link above)

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3. Muttonbird 3

   23 June 2026 at 8:34 pm

   Who would have predicted this?

   Our islamophobic and transphobic human rights commissioner is under investigation for conduct despite being told to be on his best behaviour:

   https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/politics/617463/human-rights-commission-head-to-be-investigated-over-conduct

   Now, you can be an Israeli supremacist and exclusionary feminist if you like but don’t pretend you can be that and a protector of human rights at the same time.

   Reply
   • Dennis Frank 3.1

     23 June 2026 at 9:48 pm

     It means Goldsmith is running for cover. Will he get there? We await the next thrilling episode. Rainbow, being gay, may have gaily shot off his mouth once or twice, but who takes politically-correct thought seriously nowadays?

     Very few, I suspect. My advice to the bluegreen chappie is to quit while he's ahead, join TOP, and make himself a candidate somewhere with leverage potential!

     Reply
4. Dennis Frank 4

   23 June 2026 at 10:03 pm

   Good loose forward analysis of the ABs: https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/06/23/analysis-how-newcomer-anton-segner-can-lift-all-blacks-loosies/

   If Savea is seen as primarily a No.7, as expected, then it would not surprise to see the selectors going for a Savea-Lakai-Sititi starting trio against France in Christchurch, with Segner potentially providing impact off the bench.

   Either the versatile Lakai or Segner, who is also adaptable but more likely to be seen as a specialist openside, would appear to fit the bill as players with the ability to change games due to their pace, work-rate and knack for creating special moments out of nothing. This is how Savea began his Test career but even he found it difficult to get to grips with the physical presence of the Springboks when starting out as an impact player.

   Both Lakai and Segner are bigger than Savea, however, and in the end a lack of size may have counted against Du’Plessis Kirifi, omitted from the squad after making his All Blacks debut last year. Both Lakai and Segner are also genuine lineout options.

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5. bwaghorn 5

   24 June 2026 at 6:07 am

   If top keeps climbing I'm voting them , tpm is a landmine in a coalition, tops policies are closer to green than act, they can find common ground.

   Reply

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