A change of government this close or this far away…
reasons to feel hopeful but not complacent.
roy morgan
Pollwatch: 2020 Pre-election rush
We’ve had three recent pre-election polls. While we wait for results on election day, let’s have a look at where things might be headed.
Pollwatch: August Roy Morgan poll, reported 1st September 2020
Pollwatch returns, with a Labour majority government no longer a complete certainty, and with another poor result for National.
Latest Roy Morgan Poll – Labour and Greens surge as National flounders
The first post election Roy Morgan poll result has been released. Labour and the Greens have surged and National has gone backwards.
Nats take a plunge on the Roy Morgan roundabout
The erratic Roy Morgan poll has swung around again, Nats down 4.5% to 45% and Labour/ Greens up up 5.5% to 43%. Worryingly for the B-team, government confidence fell a “whopping” 10 points.
Roy Morgan August; Nat’s Down 7%
The latest Roy Morgan is out. A solid 7% drop for National.
Roy Morgan
Time to move to Planet Key?
Latest Roy Morgan Poll
The Latest Roy Morgan poll result has been released with both National and Labour recording a significant improvement in support. But Winston is still the king maker …
Preliminary RM results: NZF jumps to 9%
New Zealand First rises 3% to 9% in the latest RM, for their best RM result in the last year or two.
Roy Morgan: NAT 48.5% (up 1.5%), LAB/GR 41.5% (unch)
NZ is heading in the right direction, say 56.5% of NZ electors (down 3%).
Roy Morgan says…National governs alone, again.
National on 49%, GR + LAB 41.5%. Government confidence rating up 9.5 to 131.5.
New Roy Morgan: National 50.5% vs LAB/GR 38%
National is at 50.5%. LAB/GR down 7% to 38%. The Opposition is still struggling to gain positive traction with the voting public.
RM: Labour jumps 6% – LAB/GR coalition leads
Roy Morgan poll declares a “centrist” NZ First could act to replace the National Government, on latest poll results.
Roy Morgan for May
The Roy Morgan poll out yesterday for May is pretty brutal reading for the left.
Another Roy Morgan
Another Roy Morgan poll out late last night makes decent reading for Little, Labour and the left.
NRT: Kiwis care about inequality
Roy Morgan has a poll out today looking at the issues affecting New Zealanders and therefore this election. Social inequality is rising as an issue as the world economy has stopped getting worse.
Latest Roy Morgan poll
The latest Roy Morgan poll records a significant swing to the left with National now on 46%, Labour 30% and the Greens 12%. One poll only and obviously more work needs to be done but …
The Worm turns: serves the media not democracy
I am really sorry to see the return of the Worm this election. It’s bad enough we have way more polling than we need, interfering with democratic process. Now we have even more of the same, with the way the Worm is to be implemented. [Updated]
Latest Roy Morgan
The latest Roy Morgan poll result is out and although it bounces around and trends rather than individual results are more important National’s support has slumped signficicantly and Labour’s and the Green’s support has risen.
Too close to call
The latest Roy Morgan poll is out and things are neck and neck.
Our boat is faster than theirs
In the wake of the astounding victory of the NZ team in San Diego, Scott at Imperator Fish offers these words of sage advice to those on the left looking at recent polling. For those of you convinced by the current winning trend, some of us hope that you will take his advice (so the rest of us can carry on with the work that needs to be done).
Roy Morgan bounces left
National 44 (down 7), Labour 34 (up 5), Greens 14 (up 4).
Roy Morgan shocker
Latest Roy Morgan is out and it’s a shocker.
Labour has dropped below 30% and the Nats are now over 50%.
Mixed news
The latest Roy Morgan poll is mixed news for the Left. A second high result for National, but Labour’s vote holding steady after difficult weeks.
Polls and rogues
Two polls tonight with very different numbers. They can’t both be right – so which one?
Polling merry-go-round
The Roy Morgan polls continue their mad merry-go-round, and we bloggers continue to get too excited about it. The latest RM projects a win for Labour / Greens.
Latest Roy Morgan… a bit shit
I guess the title says it all. The latest Roy Morgan has National at 47.5% (up 3.5%), Labour 30.5% (down 4%), Greens 12.5%, […]
Poll of polls looking good
Yesterday’s Roy Morgan poll looks good for Labour, but individual polls are noisy. Much more importantly, better measures such as the Pundit poll of polls are also looking good for the political Left. Let’s see Labour and the Greens extend their lead to establish a clear majority, without NZF or any other party holding the balance of power…
Another flatlining Roy Morgan
The latest Roy Morgan poll has National on 46%, Labour 31.5%, the Greens on 13.5%, and NZ First on 5.5%. It just amazes […]
29%
The latest Roy Morgan poll has Labour down 4.5% to 29%. There’s no way to varnish it, this is a very bad poll […]
If these trends continue… A-y-y-y!
Here’s the trend for the past six months of Roy Morgans projected to the next election.
Gap closes in latest Morgan poll
Like the recent Fairfax poll, yesterday’s Roy Morgan shows a significant swing from National to Labour.
Roy Morgan and Sue Bradford
From the miscellaneous bits of news department – a particularly grim Roy Morgan poll, and the announcement that Sue Bradford is standing for Mana against Paula Bennett in Waitakere.
No news is no news
Very little change over the last three Roy Morgan polls. Which suggests to me that voters still aren’t really paying attention.
Nats drop 5% in Roy Morgan, Left surges
TV1’s poll on Sunday was supposedly curtains for CGT, so what does it mean that the latest Roy Morgan has the Nats down 5% and the Left in striking range of an upset win? It means don’t draw instant conclusions linking one poll to one policy (although it must be tempting when you’ve spent $30K getting the numbers) – watch the trends.
Polls and people
The Roy Morgan Polls are all over the place, at the moment, and the latest one has the Left at the bottom of the roller coaster. In other news, the Readers Digest survey of most trusted individuals, which this year is dominated by scientists!