Luxon slumps in latest Colmar Brunton poll
The latest One News Kantar Poll result has been released and it is a doozie.
polls
UMR Poll August 2020
The latest Rogue Poll™ is out. This time it’s UMR’s turn and Judith Collins is on the rise.
Roy Morgan Poll July 2020
The latest Roy Morgan Poll is further bad news for National and a stark warning for NZ First.
The UK General Election
Nick Kelly is a form NZ trade unionist and NZ Labour activist. He is a co director of Piko Consulting, and currently lives in London expanding Piko into the UK. The below was originally published on Nick Kelly’s blog
One News Colmar Brunton Poll Oct 2019
The October TV One/Colmar Brunton poll is out. Like yesterday’s devastating TV3 poll result showing National not waving, but drowning, today’s poll confirms that NZ is still heading toward an historic Labour/Green Government, despite the Tories flirting with numbers in the high fifties.
UPDATE: Some weirdness with the numbers: they add up to 101% and 47% does not actually give National 60 seats, so the ‘Poll Says National Can Govern’ headlines are a wee bit optimistic. TRP.
Pollwatch: Colmar Brunton, October 23rd
In this triumphant return of Pollwatch, we discuss the increasing likelihood of a Labour-Green coalition at the next election, the security of the two smaller list parties’ tenure, the shocking 2% support of Simon Bridges’ handling of recent political events, and the split in the shadow-race for National Party leader.
Polls – focus on the horse race misses the huge mood for change
Labour’s surge under Jacinda Ardern has us all talking about Labour vs National – who’s in front. Exciting stuff, but there is something even more important going on. The mood represented by Labour + Green + the plurality of NZF supporters. The winds of change are blowing.
Poll tonight
“Dramatic and Devastating” according to Patrick Gower. Do you think he wants us to watch?
Labour closes gap to 3%
Labour rising, National falling in the latest poll. Greens steady at 8%. Jacinda Ardern buries Bill English in the “favourability” rating. Will Labour overtake Nats before the election?
Update: Live Labour launch video.
Labour’s momentum – Nat’s fall
What Jacinda Ardern has accomplished here is nothing short of astonishing. As a one-off bump in the polls it rivals Brash’s infamous Orewa speech. But Ardern’s rise is based on optimism and positivity rather than racist dog whistles.
Two good polls for Labour – and a call to arms for the Greens
Two polls out tonight show a big surge for Labour and Jacinda Ardern. But we need a strong Green vote too. To those whom Metiria inspired – please don’t give up on voting. The Greens need you now more than ever!
Metiria’s gamble pays off in latest poll
To what must be intense annoyance from angry right-wing pundits, Metiria Turei’s gamble seems to have paid off for The Greens, an indication (though mind that margin of error) that there could be a real appetite for a Corbyn-style political revolution this election.
Nats’ poll fall 2014 2017
Toby Manhire on The Spinoff has an interesting analysis of the recent Colmar Brunton poll. Comapred to the same poll in 2014 National are 5% down, with the Labour/Green alliance unchanged. The fall in the preferred PM rating from Key to English is huge. The Nats are highly vulnerable.
Narratives out of noise
Another poll, another round of narratives out of noise.
Dog’s Breakfast.
If politicians are meant to represent people, then shouldn’t they explore ways to ensure that the people they represent get represented in government?
RNZ poll of polls
RNZ: “Labour and the Green Party have closed the gap slightly on National in the latest Poll of Polls”.
A fan grieves Key’s popularity bubble
Roy Morgan August; Nat’s Down 7%
The latest Roy Morgan is out. A solid 7% drop for National.
Newshub Poll: Key Stuffed
The latest Reid Research poll is grim reading for the Nats. Labour and the Greens are closing fast.
The times they are a changing
Dedicated to the latest UMR poll that Bomber reports has Labour on 33%, the Greens on 12% and National on 41% …
Newshub poll – Key’s government has failed on housing
Quite apart from falling to his lowest level ever as preferred PM, the Newshub poll had more bad news for King John.
Newshub poll – Key falls to lowest popularity
Latest Newshub poll shows little change in the party standings and Winston still kingmaker. It also shows that Key “plummets” to his lowest level ever.
UK poll puts Corbyn’s Labour tied with Tories
A new poll has Labour tied with the Tories for the first time since Corbyn became leader.
RWC and rapists: 3 News poll confirms a pretty average week for Key.
The latest Reid Research/3News poll is out. Key gets nothing from the RWC, and the rapist remarks turn out not to have helped his popularity either. There was a time when talkback radio style outbursts used to make him look strong. Nowadays, not so much. Meanwhile, the opposition are just 1 seat behind …
Poll geekery
Nice interactive political polling data visualisation here (consider making a donation!).
The Roy Morgan roundabout
The “Roy Morgan roundabout” poll has swung round to the left again, with National at 44.5% (down 6), Labour 31% (up 4) and Greens 15% (up 4).
Herald poll
Another data point from the poll mill.
Internal polling apparently good
It’s not a good idea in general to comment on internal polling. But since they were discussed on other blogs yesterday – Labour’s current numbers are looking good.
20 years of preferred PM
3News Poll: National Lose Lead
The latest 3News/Reid Research poll continues the trend of bad results for National. On these numbers, National are knackered. And, surprise, surprise, Kiwis don’t want non-residents buying up our houses. Not a great way to finish a conference weekend, is it?
TV One Colmar Brunton Poll
The latest One News Colmar Brunton poll is out. National drop one to 47%, Labour gain that point to lift to 32% , the Greens rise to 13% and NZ First are steady on 7 %. Consumer confidence plummets 9% points to just 36%.
Reid Research Poll: Nats, Key slump.
New Reid Research poll; National, Key tank. Opposition parties nudge 50%. Little, Peters rise in preferred PM. Taxi for Mr Key?
Colmar Brunton poll
I’ll cautiously call the previous Roy Morgan, which caused so much angst, an outlier.
Colmar poll
No significant changes in yesterdays TV1 / Colmar Brunton poll, with National unchanged on 49%, Labour unchanged on 31%, and all changes within the margin of error.
Dim-Post tracking poll
March Roy Morgan
National down again and Labour up again in the latest Roy Morgan poll.