Daily review 17/10/2022

Written By: notices and features - Date published: - 20 comments
Categories: Daily review

Daily review is also your post.

This provides Standardistas the opportunity to review events of the day.

The usual rules of good behaviour apply (see the Policy).

Don’t forget to be kind to each other …

20 comments on “Daily review 17/10/2022”

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  1. 1

    Sweden energy changes have been brought about,by large failures in the German energy policy,which has brought instability to the European (and global) energy markets when exposed to an exogenous shock that was clearly signalled.

    The price spikes and margin calls in the energy sector has seen the price destruction of substantive investments in Companies such as Uniper due to the intergrated pricing on the interconnected grid.The creative destruction of investments in Uniper has seen Finland,Sweden and Norway (wealth funds) take large hits due to the nationalisation by Germany.

    The large subsidy for energy prices or Germany announced (200b e) has disrupted the European (Mostly vikings) electricity market.Norway being outside the EU limits its electricity price to domestic consumers at 7e.

    https://twitter.com/simonwakter/status/1580892987634352128

    There was also some requirement for change to interpretation of net zero to meet US lenders rules ie minimal carbon production.

    1. 1.1

      Scandi pro nuclear while German Greens struggle with retaining any nuclear generation at all is a fascinating contrast.

      But I struggle to have sympathy for Swedish or Norwegian pension funds.

      1. 1.2.1

        Nah they could have used force majeure on the contracts,but were prohibited from the Germans from doing it.

        The German/Netherlands initiative for a cap on gas prices within the EU comes in today with a one market pricing regime,China announces ban on re xport of LNG shipments from China on opening bell.

          1. 1.2.1.1.1

            Plenty,getting good pricing on the arbitrage buying out of Australia,Qatar on contract pricing reselling on spot.Also gets half price Russian LNG to balance the difference (although demand is well down due to Covid zero).

            1. 1.2.1.1.1.1

              Seems pretty negligible. …78 billion euro on gas imports to EU early part of this year…and a whole few hundred million USD from China to date this year

              1. 1.2.1.1.1.1.1

                The ship redirects as the contract transfers,(big shortage of ships) so a contract ex qatar may go to europe instead of china,with australian shipment going to japan or korea instead of china.

      1. 2.1.1

        I gave her oxygen???? When? Where? How? And most of all, why?

        I didn’t write it, and neither did she, but I do subscribe to much what was said in it, which is why I linked to it.

  4. 4

    The environmental cost of producing bitcoin places the digital asset alongside some of the world’s most environmentally unfriendly industries, according to a new study

    …

    Between 2016 and 2021, the average climate damages of each bitcoin mined stood at 35% of its market value, the researchers estimated, rising to nearly 60% between 2020 and 2021.

    The researchers said the numbers place bitcoin, which is often described as a “digital gold,” much closer to environmentally unfriendly industries like beef production (33%), producing gasoline from crude oil (41%) and using natural gas to generate electricity (46%).

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2022/09/29/bitcoins-environmental-damage-is-on-par-with-beef-natural-gas-and-oil-study-suggests/

    Feeding, transporting people and powering their lives are all industries which we can improve in many ways but these digital commodities provide people nothing and are doing real environmental damage in the process.

    The profit motive is not incentivising long term thinking, to put it mildly.

  5. 5

    Out of UK,

    BOE confirms end of intervention in high end gilt market (long bonds) after buyers strike on bonds as a result of Mini Budget.The 7 sigma deviation at the long end is now down to 2.5 std deviations.The BOE had also confirmed a large increase in the Nov monetary review and markets are now pricing in 1%,as conditions soften.They will also restart QT at end of month.

    The Chancellor this morning in emergency announcement pulled on big boy pants and has confirmed all tax cuts are now off the table for the foreseeable future,and he has lessened the energy support from 2 years to April 2023,ending after winter.

    bond prices retreat as investors return,pound appreciates and the US$ retreats across a number of countries.

    Europe gas policy announced said it would be dynamic and imparted little other detail as it was to be communicated in reverse esperanto,which none of the publicists or NSA code breaking computers could decipher,confirming the foremost problem with Europe is sophistry.

    https://twitter.com/BloombergUK/status/1581951686415110144?cxt=HHwWgMDSiayrnPQrAAAA

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