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Daily review 15/10/2026
6 comments on “Daily review 15/10/2026”
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‘Labour campaign chairman Kieran McAnulty would rather work with the Opportunity Party over Te Pāti Māori, he said [today]. "We're on the verge of being able to form a coalition with just the Greens and Opportunity".’
https://www.interest.co.nz/public-policy/140701/were-verge-being-able-form-coalition-just-greens-and-opportunity-labour-eyes
As Labour are going aggressively after the Māori seats, this is not surprising. McAnulty is now doing a teasing dance in front of OP. ‘Pick us! Pick us!’
Risky strategy: it could make OP demanding in agreement talks. It could also chase away rw voters from OP. O Kieran, are you running a win-win forked-outcome game? Both weaken OP votes AND cow TPM?
As for TPM, encouraging a Green party vote for Māori roll voters allows them a backup support system if they're left out in the cold. Labour won't resurrect a Māori health authority, won't have a crimes portfolio, and seem cooler on Māori initiatives, in response to the racisisation of NZ via SM propaganda.
Plots thicken. The future is even hazier. If so much of the country's future wasn't riding so close to the edge, it would almost be fun.
Another possible win in the outcome fork: drive Māori roll votes to Labour from TPM, in lieu of being shut out of government representation. Oooh! Sneaky, sneaky McAnulty!
It tells the centrist swing voters Labour need that they don't have to be so worried about the radical Māoris.
In 2017 when Labour got 37%, it was a loss until Winston made it a miracle.
Labour 9 years later will feel grateful for 27% this time.
What happened Labour?
Labour is stuck between their need for centrist swing voters in order for the left to form government, and the left needing actual left, or progressive parties and choosing Green or now OP.
as with Ardern, there's probably a wasting of political capital with the drop in support for Nat, but it's in hindsight.