Two polls out tonight

The latest Colmar Brunton and Reid Research polls are out tonight and clearly they will be trying to measure what effect the Budget has had on public opinion. What will they show?

Reid poll

The latest Newshub / Reid poll shows nothing dramatic on the party preference, but has talking points for both left and right on the (largely nonsense) preferred PM question.

3News Poll: National Lose Lead

The latest 3News/Reid Research poll continues the trend of bad results for National. On these numbers, National are knackered. And, surprise, surprise, Kiwis don’t want non-residents buying up our houses.  Not a great way to finish a conference weekend, is it?

Of polls and elections

Two new polls are out and the Government has enjoyed a post budget bounce. But when the post budget glow wears off and the inevitable seepage of support starts what will National do then?

The trouble with political polls

Two new polls are out suggesting National’s support is in the range of 46%.  Given that its support is historically over reported this is potentially cause for concern …

Main parties down minor parties up

The two TV polls last night had both major parties down, and The Greens on the rise to 13%.  The Herald poll has NZF on 4.9%.  I would expect the Nats to fall as the bungled and aggressive handling of the teapot tape fiasco has time to impact the polls.  It’s going to be an interesting week.