The truth behind job numbers

Bruce Munro’s excellent piece in the ODT, looks in to the truth behind the Nats’ job numbers: “It does not take much digging in Statistics New Zealand’s latest Household Labour Force Survey to uncover a growing world of low-paid work, insufficient working hours, financial struggles and unfulfilled lives”.

Billions of lies

The Nats are settling in to election mode – smoke and mirrors. Steven Joyce feeds us billions of dollars worth of lies.

The Nats’ new ‘swimmable’ rivers aren’t

Under the new standards we have up to a 1 in 6 risk of serious infection at the times that we actually swim in rivers, and Smith is trying to hide this fact by fudging around with year-long averages. David Parker’s analysis yesterday was bang on.

Unemployment apples and oranges

A fall in the jobless rate is superficially good news, but most of the “fall” since May is due to changes in the way the measure is calculated. Wages remain flat, though less so for union members.

Kiwiblip!

Either Kiwiblog had a very large social media blip (one million page views in a day is pretty high), or  something is really wrong with Sitemeter, or there is a irritating bug somewhere bloating the numbers. I’d like to know one way or another, as I’ve had to deal with some strange spikes like this in the past  and they are tricky to track down.

More Nat lies

National’s been lying about increased teacher numbers, and the state of the economy – and now they’re promising unaffordable tax cuts.

Polity: Regional income stats

The Herald says the regions have rising incomes, but caution against reading anything into it. DPF reads everything into it anyway. But when people with jobs stay in the regions and those without jobs go to where some jobs are – average incomes rise in the provinces. It is what you expect to see when there is a jobless ‘recovery’ like National is paying for with debt.

Spin v reality

National have become a very adept PR machine. While not adept at running the country, they’ve become great at running statistics. John Key […]

Bill’s Magic Numbers

Bill (and John and the entire National caucus) have been telling us that we are required to borrow $380 million each and every week.  Apparently we aren’t.

National fiddles as NZ burns

8,000 more unemployed in Q4 2010, and 1,000 more on the dole in January; New Zealand headed to a douple-dip recession after a year of anaemic growth; an average wage rise in 2010 of 1.9% with inflation of 4%. And a government focussed on manipulating statistics instead of coming up with an economic plan.

Key tries bad stats to mask pathetic record

In his speech yesterday, John Key made the extraordinary claim that the real average wage has risen 10% under his rule. That figure is wrong and the measure is the wrong one to use. But there’s a more fundamental check: look around you, is the average family 10% better off than 2 years ago? Who are you going to believe? Key or your own eyes?

Key – War on P?

Do you remember when John Key declared War on P a year ago?  The action has been… underwhelming.  The Police have been getting on with quietly doing a good job, to be sure, but when you grandiosely declare “War” on something, you expect a bit more attention to have been paid to it.