Next time …

National has an outright majority and the left has gone backwards.  Some thoughts on what may have happened.

Green Watch

I am hoping for a good proportion of the vote for the Green Party.  They got !!% of the vote in 2011, resulting in them having 14 MPs. Updated

Seat watch – Te Tai Tokerau

Will Hone hang on and bring in Internet Mana MPs with him?  The polls suggest that the race with Kelvin Davis is neck and neck although Hone has this habit of doing far better than the landline polls would suggest. Updated: Kelvin Davis ahead but it was won by specials last time.

Seat watch – Ohariu

Will Peter Dunne continue as the MP for Ohariu and sole United Future MP or will Labour’s Virginia Andersen prevail?

Updated: Looks like Peter Dunne is back again.

Seat Watch – Epsom

Who will win Epsom? Will enough people rebel at John Key’s instruction to vote for the ACT candidate or will ACT’s extreme policies and Jaime Whyte’s weirdness mean that the people of Epsom will rebel and vote for Paul Goldsmith? Updated: Early, but the Act guy ahead.

From Moira

Moira Coatsworth, Labour Party President, sent this notice out to the members, supporters and volunteers.

Election watch 2014

I hear there was an election today.  What happened?

21:45: National will probably be easily able to form a coalition with their two puppet parties and maybe the Maori party. Conservatives out.

Political advertising on election day

I’m getting scattered reports and images of political advertising popping up on various websites. They seem to look like accidents more than a deliberate strategy.
Updated: In other news blogger does a good selfie…
Updated 1300: NZ Herald mobile site still has political ads popping up periodically.
Updated 1550: Quinovic Mt Eden have clearly violated electoral law with a mailout.

Have a happy and legal election day

At 12pm tonight, the comments section on this site will (largely) stop accepting comments. I will (probably) be putting up a post tomorrow morning to accept, store and act on private electoral complaints from anywhere around the country. Take a snap of violations and log it. Lets keep the buggers honest. Updated.

Check you are enrolled – last chance

You can’t enrol to vote tomorrow. If you haven’t early voted, don’t have a vote pack, and if you don’t show up on the electronic roll and you are in anyway unsure, then your best bet is to head to your local post shop, and fill in and give them an enrolment form – BEFORE the post shop closes.

A clean start

If Team Key manage to stagger over the line it will be a government paralysed from the start by scandal and investigation – inward looking and defensive. A rather Pyrrhic “victory” at best. We need a Labour led government so that we can put this nightmare behind us. We need a clean start.

The tweets are alive….

… with pre-election day fervour. It’s an election that’s going down to the wire.  The energy is there for the left to keep talking to people, and to encourage as many as possible to get out and vote. It’s Suffrage Day – reporting via the telegraph in 1893 to the internet today. On-going updates

Polity: Shameful, innumerate reporting of Herald poll

If a politics editor at a major National newspaper doesn’t know basic statistics, then you’d have to ask how she retains her job? Having a jonolist apparently deliberately distort the meaning of a poll that is taken, and whose results was not linked to in the article, is a complete travesty.

Three final polls

Three last polls and National’s support is declining, Labour’s improving and the Greens are stable.  Things are getting very close with Winston Peters looking more and more likely to hold the balance of power.  This election will be decided vote by vote.

Shout out to The Standard

A special call to work from David Cunliffe. If you don’t already have an date with a political party of the left on […]

Greens buoyant

John Key & National’s empty facade – its lack of vision for NZ – has been exposed. Opposition parties have continued to campaign positively, focusing on people, fairness, & the environment. [Update] NZ Herald video

Vote Key, get Colin

With the latest poll results it’s basically a coin-toss whether a vote for National gets you Colin Craig and his extremist mates at the Cabinet table.

Key’s last fig leaf

Key’s last fig leaf on GCSB surveillance is to plead ignorance. Unfortunately for him the evidence is compelling. If he does manage to lead the next government, these issues will continue to haunt him.

Leader’s debate IV

The fourth and final leaders debate has now finished.  John Key will be pleased at his decision to limit it to 30 minutes.

The latest polls

Two polls out today both suggesting that National are comfortably ahead although the Reid Research has National declining further and polling under 45%.  The equivalent polls last time predicted that National would win an outright victory.  This is going to be a very tight election.

A Matter of Simple Logic

One of the few journalists to do his job properly over the course of the dirty politics scandal has been Guyon Espiner. He […]

A brilliant (if flawed) event – Key must resign

From Key we have changing stories, irrelevant distractions and refusal to comment. From Snowden we have compelling first person testimony and supporting documents (uncontested by any other Five Eyes leader). New Zealand is under mass surveillance.

Right Back At You John.

I need to say this – for those academics who will slice and dice a subject to slithers so small that all that […]

The blowoff stream

The queue is enormous. But here is the feed. Thanks Selwyn for the link….. 19:05: Liala Harre has been improving her speaking since […]

John Key On Trial

The latest instalment in the saga of John Key’s struggle to maintain his image as someone above suspicion has produced the amazing spectacle […]

The email

The email that alleges to show John key was in on a conspiracy, with Hollywood execs, to entrap Dotcom in NZ so they could extradite him to the US. Updated. Warners say the email is fake. But who was applying the “political pressure”? Updated: Cameron Slater is a techno idiot.

The enablers

Under pressure from Glenn Greenwald’s revelations, John Key, using various smoke screens, is starting to reveal his complicity in working with the GCSB & its 5 Eyes partners, to extend the scope of their spying. Could the Southern Cross Cable Network not have known their systems had been tapped? Update: Statement by Southern Cross Cables