Is the 90 day trial “working”?

The NZIER recently popped up with a study  purporting to show that the “90-day trial period” (the fire at will bill) is “working”.  The study and its conclusions have since been widely quoted.  Unfortunately the conclusions are a load of nonsense.  NZIER have committed the amateur hour mistake of seeing the cause that they want to see.

Open mike 04/02/2011

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Mind the Wealth Gap

The Onion, PARIS—At a press conference Tuesday, the World Heritage Committee officially recognized the Gap Between Rich and Poor as the “Eighth Wonder of the World,” describing the global wealth divide as the “most colossal and enduring of mankind’s creations.”

Our election

John Key has been less cunning than some thought he would be. Going for a November election, he thinks, will let him leverage off the World Cup mini-boom, and enhance running Michael Jones and Inga Tuigamala as candidates. But it means 5 months for the Budget cuts to hurt and gives us 5 more months to work. So, what are we going to do?

Unemployment Up

The December quarter employment statistics are out.  And there’s a big jump up to 6.8% unemployment.  11,000 people lost their jobs, 8,000 became “unemployed” and 3,000 others left the workforce altogether.  The labour force participation rate (the number of people of working age, working) is down to 67.9%.

Useless ministers wasting our money

Crushless Collins’ double-bunking money saver costing $2.6m.

Shock! Paying someone else to build and operate our schools won’t save money.

Nat-appointed public service chiefs paid to air-commute. Pay cuts for frontline.

Key smiles at launch of new science ministry, waves in $3m of science funding cuts.

Save us from Nat working groups

The same old formula has played out again: National appoints an expensive, hand-picked working group (the Savings Working Group). The working group comes up with predictable recommendations. The Nats extreme recommendations out of hand, to appear moderate, and do what they were planning to do. Here are the real savings solutions.

Extreme weather: Yasi

By the time this is posted Yasi will have hit Australia.  There will be massive damage, and probably loss of life.  Most New Zealanders will have friends or family in Australia, perhaps in the areas affected.  I’m sure our thoughts are with our cousins over the ditch.  Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent as a result of climate change.  We should all make whatever preparations we can.

Open mike 03/02/2011

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Dealing with the DIA website-harvest parasite

Periodically I run a scan to identify network parasites that are sucking up our bandwidth and processing resources in excess. Of course I leave the benign parasites that provide search facilities alone. But I stomp on the nasties.

Tonight the biggest parasite appears to have been a New Zealand government department – the Department of Internal Affairs.

Key’s mistake

So I reckoned the election would be in July. That’s because July would have been a good call. And I thought Key and his wee crew were good.

Turns out they’re locking in November 26.  That’s a big mistake – he would have had the opposition on the ropes if he’d called July or earlier.

Principles

So John Key has flip flopped and decided to rule out working with Winston Peters again.  He’s trying to portray that as a principled decision, about running an “aspirational” government.  So why did he need to spend so many months working out what his principles are?  No, it’s a political decision.  Key thinks he can squeeze a little more milage out of flogging the dead horse that is Winston Peters.

Past 7000 posts.

Darn, we sneaked past the 7000th post without my noticing at the end of last month. We passed 6000 posts on August 25th last year, so we did that last thousand posts in 160 days. The comment growth is pretty strong as well.

The site is also now iPad friendly. Have a peek at the screenshots.

Bunch of bankers

In America a federal enquiry has now confirmed what we already knew. The 2008 financial crisis was an “avoidable” disaster caused by multiple failures of regulation and good old fashioned greed.  If we don’t make some fundamental changes it is all going to happen again…

Open mike 02/02/2011

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ECE – cuts bite today

Today is the day that Anne Tolley’s $400 million dollar cut to early childhood education bites.  A sector which delivers $13 value for […]

Economic recovery despite the Nats

Pundits looking to talk up the economy are hopeful that things will improve in 2011.  National have done more harm than good, but there some encouraging signs too, arising from external factors such as high food prices, and returns on old investments such as NZ Super.  The NZ economy will eventually recover.  Not because of the Nats, but in spite of them.

Needed like a hole in the head

Judith Collins is an utter failure. She calls herself ‘Crusher’ but hasn’t crushed a single car two years after promising to. Crime has gone up under her watch and police deaths have increased despite her claim that the Taser would make them safer. So, there’s plenty of good ways to criticise her without dumb shit like this.

What will Key cut?

The early childhood education cuts have hit – families will face an average $20-$45 a week increase in the cost of sending a kid to kindy. And Anne Tolley is signaling more to come. But it’s not just the education of the next generation that’s for the chop as National seeks to balance the books after its tax cuts for the rich binge.

Open mike 01/02/2011

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Key: Mubarak’s last supporter?

Like many of you, I stopped watching Breakfast after Paul Henry left* but an alert reader sent me this interview with John Key on the show yesterday. Before he makes his weak excuses for not Mondayising public holidays but he says something truly amazing: he thinks Mubarak should stay in power in Egypt just because he recognises Israel.

Be honest on holidays, John

John Key says he needs ‘advice’ on Mondayising ANZAC Day and Waitangi Day. The fact is the move would be right and popular but his business mates are too cheap to pay an extra 4 days every 7 years. Key’s just playing for time.

It ain’t easy being green

At his ‘Blue-Green’ conference Nick Smith talked up the Nats’ environmental credentials. Proclaimed a marine reserve … where commercial fishing will still be allowed. And pushed new air quality standards from 2013 to 2020. That will cost 635 lives and a million sick days. Smith says it will save $506m. Guess the ‘Green’ in ‘Blue-Green’ is money after all.

Greens state of the planet

Russel Norman followed Phil Goff and John Key’s state of the nation speeches with the annual Greens state of the planet address. The capital gains tax initiative grabbed headlines but there’s a lot more going on beneath the surface. As we face myriad economic and environmental problems, the Greens have the real answers.

An argument for hope?

It’s crunch time for humanity and for our current way of life.  Ever since the failure of the Copenhagen summit on climate change I have been less than optimistic about the outcome.  So the Christmas break was a good time to read Here on Earth: An Argument for Hope by Tim Flannery. An argument for hope was exactly what I was looking for…

Open mike 31/01/2011

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Hey Laydeez

Is it just me or is the idea of our Prime Minister joking around with Tony Vietch (a guy who threw his fiance […]

Economic reform for sustainability

Continual growth in the use of resources is not possible. Society and the economy has to be structured to allow a steady state economy where resource use is within sustainable limits.

Open mike 30/01/2011

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